From the quarterback's passing-yards line to a slot receiver's receptions, Prop Season grades how each defense handles that specific stat, projects the number, and shows how often it has hit. For every NFL prop you get the same four things — and never a pick.
Open the NFL board →an A+ to C− letter for how the opponent defends this exact stat (grey C means no edge either way — never a pick).
the model's own number for the prop — our projected value and hit probability, built from a backtested formula.
the STREAK / L5 / L10 / L20 / season splits plus a per-game bar chart against the line, so you see how often it has actually landed.
an AI blurb that ties the grade, the projection, and the history together in a sentence.
What you will never see: we never name a side, never call an over or under, and never show a bet-confidence or edge grade. Prop Season gives you the matchup, the formula, the history, and the read — the decision is yours.
Each is graded on how the opponent defends that exact stat, projected off a backtested model, and backed by STREAK / L5 / L10 / L20 / season hit-rate splits with a per-game bar chart against the line. The NFL board runs September through the Super Bowl, with the board rebuilding daily on nflverse data and live odds.
Prop Season is a research tool for NFL props: for every player it shows a matchup grade, a model projection, historical hit-rate splits, and a plain-language read. It does not tell you which side to bet — you decide.
Yes — passing yards and TDs, rushing yards, receptions and receiving yards are all graded with a matchup letter, a projection, and STREAK/L5/L10/L20/season hit rates.
Each grade reflects how the opponent defends that exact stat, on free nflverse and FTN charting data (usage, yards and TDs allowed, blitz and box scheme). It is a defense-difficulty letter, not a betting pick.
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